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Dollar Set To Surge On Payrolls. By Nicholas Hastings
U.S. non-farm payrolls later Friday should help the dollar to surge ahead. The recovery in the global economy remains painfully slow. The chances of major economies following Australia and exiting their emergency monetary policies looks increasingly unlikely.
U.S. non-farm payrolls later Friday should help the dollar to surge ahead. The recovery in the global economy remains painfully slow. The chances of major economies following Australia and exiting their emergency monetary policies looks increasingly unlikely.
6 November | 
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0 comments The Aussie Will Rise Again. By Nicholas Hastings
The rally in the Aussie should resume soon. With commodity prices set to extend their recent gains and with Australia's economic recovery still well ahead of the G10 pack, it would take a serious reversal in the recent increase in global risk appetite to undermine support for the Australian dollar.
The rally in the Aussie should resume soon. With commodity prices set to extend their recent gains and with Australia's economic recovery still well ahead of the G10 pack, it would take a serious reversal in the recent increase in global risk appetite to undermine support for the Australian dollar.
5 November | 0 comments
0 comments Currencies Nerves Keep Building. By Katie Martin
Currencies are very jumpy right now, and it would be a super-brave or super-confident investor who ignores them. The key sign that something is wrong comes from the dollar. For all the hand-wringing and worry that we hear from policymakers and politicians around the world, dollar weakness is actually, in many ways, a good thing.
Currencies are very jumpy right now, and it would be a super-brave or super-confident investor who ignores them. The key sign that something is wrong comes from the dollar. For all the hand-wringing and worry that we hear from policymakers and politicians around the world, dollar weakness is actually, in many ways, a good thing.
4 November | 0 comments
0 comments Grinning Sterling Bears Could Be Let Down. By Katie Martin
Sterling bears haven't gone into hibernation just yet. They are pretty bruised, as the pound has ground some 4% higher against the dollar since the middle of last month, boosted by a fresh rush into risky bets in a range of asset classes.
Sterling bears haven't gone into hibernation just yet. They are pretty bruised, as the pound has ground some 4% higher against the dollar since the middle of last month, boosted by a fresh rush into risky bets in a range of asset classes.
3 November | 0 comments
0 comments US Recovery Of Any Shape Spells Dollar Strength. By Nicholas Hastings
Whatever shape the U.S. economic recovery takes, it should still point to a dollar rally. A 'V-shaped' recovery would mean that the U.S. is already bouncing back, and the Federal Reserve will turn more hawkish this week - signaling an end to its emergency credit crunch strategy.
Whatever shape the U.S. economic recovery takes, it should still point to a dollar rally. A 'V-shaped' recovery would mean that the U.S. is already bouncing back, and the Federal Reserve will turn more hawkish this week - signaling an end to its emergency credit crunch strategy.
2 November | 0 comments
0 comments Pressure Grows On China To Let Yuan Rise Again. By Nicholas Hastings
There could be more pressure on China to let the yuan rise this time around. Whether Beijing actually releases the yuan's peg against the dollar altogether or allows just a limited revaluation is another question.
There could be more pressure on China to let the yuan rise this time around. Whether Beijing actually releases the yuan's peg against the dollar altogether or allows just a limited revaluation is another question.
30 October | 0 comments
0 comments List Of Reasons Not To Buy The Euro Is Growing. By Nicholas Hastings
Both domestic and global developments are working against the euro this week. The single currency is likely to continue suffering from a combination of disappointment that the U.S. and global recovery isn't proving more robust, as well as from rising evidence that euro-zone interest rates will have to stay lower for longer than previously thought.
Both domestic and global developments are working against the euro this week. The single currency is likely to continue suffering from a combination of disappointment that the U.S. and global recovery isn't proving more robust, as well as from rising evidence that euro-zone interest rates will have to stay lower for longer than previously thought.
29 October | 0 comments
0 comments The Yen Won't Fall Much More Now. By Nicholas Hastings
Yen bears have a little further to run on the downside--but not much.The factors that have been driving the dollar higher against the yen all this month will soon turn against the U.S. currency, as the rise in U.S. yields encourages Japanese investors to lock in rates of return that are at least double what they can get at home.
Yen bears have a little further to run on the downside--but not much.The factors that have been driving the dollar higher against the yen all this month will soon turn against the U.S. currency, as the rise in U.S. yields encourages Japanese investors to lock in rates of return that are at least double what they can get at home.
28 October | 0 comments
0 comments Euro's Break Over $1.50 Won't Last Long. By Nicholas Hastings
The euro may have finally climbed over $1.50 but the move looks distinctly unconvincing. Instead of soaring ahead on higher equities, hopes for a global recovery and talk of more reserve diversification out of the dollar, the single currency is looking increasingly vulnerable to a nasty correction.
The euro may have finally climbed over $1.50 but the move looks distinctly unconvincing. Instead of soaring ahead on higher equities, hopes for a global recovery and talk of more reserve diversification out of the dollar, the single currency is looking increasingly vulnerable to a nasty correction.
27 October | 0 comments
0 comments Swiss Intervention Is Less Likely Now. By Nicholas Hastings
Other central banks may be gearing up to start intervening in currency markets but the Swiss National Bank is probably gearing down. The Swiss franc is rising back to CHF1.51 level against the euro that would have triggered SNB market action only a matter of weeks ago.
Other central banks may be gearing up to start intervening in currency markets but the Swiss National Bank is probably gearing down. The Swiss franc is rising back to CHF1.51 level against the euro that would have triggered SNB market action only a matter of weeks ago.
26 October | 0 comments
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